Saturday, May 03, 2014

David Hand and the Improbability Principle

I wouldn't normally recommend a long lecture but this one is worth viewing if you have an interest in those things that are extremely rare events.
  • Winning Lotteries
  • Coincidental meetings in remote locations. 
  • How Psychics work
  • Remote Viewing
  • Multiple Lightning strikes
  • Market Crashes
David defines the improbability principle as a set of five laws much like Newtons's Laws but these laws are based on statistics and probabilities.   He explains how events that are extremely coincidental are almost bound to occur.

Click here  to link to the YouTube Video for the Improbability Principle by David Hand

Sunday, February 02, 2014

Bad Pharma and Bed Goldacre

Awhile back I had done a blog post on Bad Astronomy which highlighted Phil Plait and some common myths relative to astronomy and bad science in general.   Recently I came across a couple of good Ted Talks given by Dr. Ben Goldacre about Bad Pharma.   Ben has a couple of books I think called Bad Pharma and Bad Science.

The key to his message is that what we know about published science is based on studies of positive results in academia or research based businesses. The problem that we face is bias towards favorable results while negative results are almost completely ignored or never get published.    You can have one study that says caffeine is linked to cancer and it will get published while 9 other studies on the same topic that had no significant finding are ignored.   The public takes away the wrong message.


Here is the a second video also by Ben Goldacre.  

You may find both of these very interesting to review.   I can imagine anyone who took the trouble to get a degree for his cat really can be out to show how some people appearing to be legitimate can put false science out in the mainstream media.